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  • 2026 Iowa season preview: Can the Hawkeyes find enough offense to make noise in the Big Ten?

    2026 Iowa season preview: Can the Hawkeyes find enough offense to make noise in the Big Ten?

    In college football, there are not many things you can count on anymore.

    The transfer portal changes everything. Coaches move. Quarterbacks leave. Conferences barely look like conferences anymore.

    But Iowa winning eight or nine games?

    That still feels about as safe as death and taxes.

    The Hawkeyes went 9-4 last season and 6-3 in the Big Ten, and they did it in the most Iowa way possible. They played defense. They ran the football. They made games ugly. They forced opponents to play in the mud.

    And honestly, that is still what makes Iowa dangerous.

    Nobody wants to see the Hawkeyes sitting in the middle of the schedule. You may have more talent. You may have a better quarterback. You may have more explosive receivers. But if you get dragged into an Iowa game, suddenly it is 16-13 in the fourth quarter and one mistake can beat you.

    That is the beauty and frustration of Kirk Ferentz football.

    Now the question is whether Iowa can do more than just be tough.

    Can the Hawkeyes find enough offense to actually threaten the top tier of the Big Ten?

    HEAD COACH:

    • Kirk Ferentz, entering year 28 at Iowa
    • Ferentz is 213-128 as Iowa’s head coach.
    • Iowa went 9-4 last season and 6-3 in the Big Ten.
    • The Hawkeyes are 35-19 over the last four seasons.
    • Iowa has won at least eight games every full season since 2015.

    At this point, Kirk Ferentz is Iowa football.

    He is entering his 28th season as head coach, which is almost impossible to wrap your mind around in modern college football. The sport has changed a dozen times around him, and Ferentz is still there, still winning, still making Iowa look like Iowa.

    The formula is not complicated.

    Play great defense. Be physical. Run the ball. Win field position. Avoid disasters. Make the opponent uncomfortable.

    It is not always pretty.

    But it works.

    Iowa averaged 28.9 points per game last season, which was actually a big step up from some of the ugly offensive years people remember. The yardage still looked very Iowa — just 316.9 yards per game, ranked 118th nationally — but the Hawkeyes found enough points to win nine games. Defensively, they allowed only 16.8 points per game and 289.3 yards per game, both top-10 marks nationally.

    That is the Iowa experience.

    The offense might not scare you.

    The defense absolutely does.

    QUARTERBACK:

    This is the biggest unknown.

    Mark Gronowski is gone, and that matters more than people may realize.

    Gronowski was not a high-volume passer last season. He threw 10 touchdowns and seven interceptions, so it is not like Iowa is replacing a 4,000-yard quarterback.

    But he gave Iowa something huge: a quarterback run game.

    Gronowski ran 130 times for 545 yards and 16 touchdowns last season. That changed the math for the Hawkeyes, especially near the goal line. When Iowa got into scoring range, it had a quarterback who could finish drives with his legs.

    That may not be easy to replace.

    The quarterback battle appears to be between Jeremy Hecklinski and Hank Brown. Hecklinski is a sophomore who came from Wake Forest and has barely played. Brown is a junior from Auburn who has more experience, but still not a ton. Iowa’s roster lists both quarterbacks, with Brown coming from Auburn and Hecklinski coming from Wake Forest.

    Brown threw only 21 passes last season. He had 107 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Before that, he threw 52 passes across his time at Auburn.

    Hecklinski threw only two passes last year at Iowa.

    So this is not a quarterback room full of proven Big Ten production.

    That does not mean Iowa is doomed. Iowa has won a lot of games without elite quarterback play. But the Hawkeyes do need one of these guys to be functional.

    That is the word.

    Functional.

    Complete the easy throws. Protect the ball. Do not make the defense defend short fields. Hit a few play-action shots. Hand it to the running backs and stay out of the way when the game calls for it.

    If Brown or Hecklinski can do that, Iowa can win plenty of games.

    But if the quarterback run game disappears and the passing game does not improve, the offense could slide right back toward the version of Iowa everyone jokes about.

    THE REST OF THE OFFENSE

    The quarterback is a question.

    The running back room is not.

    Kamari Moulton is back after rushing for 878 yards and five touchdowns last season. He averaged 5.2 yards per carry, and he gives Iowa a real lead back to build around.

    That is huge.

    Moulton is not alone, either.

    Lendon “L.J.” Phillips Jr. comes in from South Dakota, and his numbers are ridiculous. Phillips rushed for 1,920 yards and 19 touchdowns last season, and Iowa lists him as a junior running back from South Dakota.

    That gives Iowa a pretty fun one-two punch.

    Moulton has proven he can produce in the Big Ten. Phillips was a monster at the FCS level. Together, they should allow Iowa to keep doing what Iowa wants to do: shorten games, lean on the run, protect the quarterback and let the defense control the flow.

    The offensive line has some work to do.

    Iowa has to replace Logan Jones, the Remington Trophy-winning center. That is not easy. Centers matter everywhere, but they really matter at Iowa, where the run game and protection calls are such a big part of the identity.

    The good news is Trevor Lauck is back at offensive tackle, and Kade Pieper is back on the line as well.

    Lauck especially matters because if Iowa is breaking in a quarterback, having stability at tackle is a big deal.

    The receiver room still feels like the usual Iowa question.

    Who scares anybody?

    That has been the issue for years. Iowa does not need to become Ohio State at receiver, but it does need somebody who can punish defenses for loading up against the run.

    If the passing game is just occasional third-and-7 hope, this offense has a ceiling.

    If the run game is strong enough to force safeties down and the quarterback can hit some shots, Iowa becomes much harder to deal with.

    DEFENSE

    This is where Iowa should be Iowa again.

    The Hawkeyes were outstanding defensively last season.

    They allowed 16.8 points per game, eighth-best nationally, and only 289.3 yards per game, ninth-best nationally. Opponents converted only 20% of their fourth-down attempts, the best mark in the country.

    That is not just good.

    That is suffocating.

    Iowa makes everything difficult. It tackles. It stays in position. It does not give away cheap explosives. It makes you earn every yard. And when an offense is used to getting easy throws or easy run lanes, the Hawkeyes can make the whole thing feel frustrating in a hurry.

    There are only a few returning starters, but the names are important.

    Jayden Montgomery is back at linebacker. Deshaun Lee is back in the secondary. Zach Lutmer is also back at defensive back.

    The transfer additions are interesting too.

    Defensive back Tyler Brown comes in from James Madison, and Kahmari Brown, a defensive lineman, transfers in from Elon.

    The bigger portal story is that Iowa has brought in more transfers than usual.

    That is worth watching.

    For years, Ferentz built this program by developing players over time. Redshirt them. Teach them. Let them grow. Turn three-star prospects into NFL players.

    That is still part of Iowa’s DNA.

    But college football is different now.

    You cannot always wait three years for development. Players transfer. Depth changes quickly. Rosters turn over faster. So Iowa has to adapt without losing what makes Iowa Iowa.

    That is one of the more interesting parts of this season.

    Can Ferentz blend the old Iowa development model with the new transfer-portal world?

    If he can, the defense should be fine.

    It usually is.

    SCHEDULE

    The first six games are going to tell us a lot.

    Iowa opens with Northern Illinois, then gets Iowa State and Northern Iowa at home. After that, things get real fast: at Michigan, home against Ohio State, then at Washington. Iowa’s official schedule has that exact opening stretch before the back half begins with Minnesota, Wisconsin, Northwestern, Purdue, Illinois and Nebraska.

    That is a tough start.

    The Iowa State game is always weird. It is almost always low-scoring. It almost always feels like both teams are fighting over every inch. Last year, Iowa lost that game 16-13, which is about as Iowa-Iowa State as it gets.

    Then comes the Big Ten gauntlet.

    At Michigan.

    Ohio State at home.

    At Washington.

    That is brutal.

    Michigan and Ohio State back-to-back is hard enough. Add a road trip to Husky Stadium right after that, and you have a stretch that could define the entire season.

    If Iowa gets through the first six games at 4-2, Hawkeye fans should probably feel pretty good.

    If it is 3-3, that would not be shocking.

    The good news is the back half of the schedule is much more manageable.

    Iowa finishes with at Minnesota, Wisconsin, at Northwestern, Purdue, at Illinois and Nebraska.

    That does not mean easy.

    But compared to Michigan, Ohio State and Washington in a three-game stretch, it is a lot more reasonable.

    The schedule sets up like this:

    Survive the first half.

    Make a run in the second half.

    OUTLOOK

    Iowa is going to be Iowa.

    The defense will be tough. The games will be physical. The Hawkeyes will make opponents uncomfortable. There will be at least one game where a more explosive team gets dragged into an ugly fourth quarter and wonders how it happened.

    That is what Iowa does.

    The harder question is whether the offense can be good enough.

    Losing Mark Gronowski’s rushing production matters. That quarterback run game helped Iowa finish drives last season. If the new quarterback does not bring that same element, the passing game has to give the offense something else.

    The running backs should help.

    Kamari Moulton and L.J. Phillips give Iowa a real backfield. If the offensive line comes together, the Hawkeyes should be able to lean on the run game and protect whichever quarterback wins the job.

    The best-case scenario is that Hank Brown or Jeremy Hecklinski settles in, the run game becomes one of the better ones in the Big Ten, the offensive line grows up quickly, and the defense stays top-15 nationally.

    If that happens, Iowa can absolutely win nine or 10 games again.

    The worst-case scenario is that the quarterback situation never really settles, the offense misses Gronowski’s legs, the passing game stays limited, and the early schedule puts Iowa in a hole before October even gets rolling.

    Winning nine games is great.

    But if Iowa wants to be a real Big Ten contender, the offense has to give the defense more help.

    The defense will keep Iowa in games.

    The running backs will give the Hawkeyes a chance.

    Now the quarterback has to make sure the offense does not hold everything back.

  • 2026 season outlook: Can the Indiana Hoosiers actually run it back?

    2026 season outlook: Can the Indiana Hoosiers actually run it back?

    Is it harder to build a champion nobody saw coming, or to stay on top once everybody knows you are real?

    That is the question for Indiana.

    What Curt Cignetti has done in Bloomington is still hard to process. Three years ago, nobody was sitting around saying Indiana was about to become a national power. Nobody thought the Hoosiers would beat Alabama, beat Ohio State, go to Miami, win the national title and finish as the first 16-0 team in college football history.

    But it happened.

    Now comes the next challenge.

    Prove it was not just a moment.

    And honestly, Indiana has earned the benefit of the doubt.

    The Hoosiers are 27-2 over the last two seasons after winning only 28 total games from 2018-2023. That is an insane turnaround. Indiana has been in the playoff two straight years, won the whole thing last year, and now enters 2026 as one of the teams everyone is chasing.

    HEAD COACH:

    • Curt Cignetti, entering year three at Indiana
    • The Hoosiers are 27-2 over the last two seasons.
    • Indiana averaged 39.5 points per game last year.
    • The Hoosiers ranked No. 1 nationally in third-down conversion rate.

    The wild thing about Indiana’s offense last year is that it had the Heisman Trophy winner at quarterback and still ran the ball on 61% of its plays.

    That is one of my favorite stats from last season.

    Fernando Mendoza was arguably the best player in the country. He became the No. 1 pick in the NFL Draft. He led Indiana to a national championship. And yet Indiana did not build the whole thing around throwing it 45 times a game.

    That tells you what Cignetti wants this program to be.

    Balanced. Physical. Efficient. Smart. Disciplined.

    Indiana was No. 1 in turnover margin and No. 4 in fewest penalties per game last season. That is not an accident. That is culture. That is coaching. That is why I do not look at Indiana and say, “Well, Mendoza is gone, so the run is over.”

    Mendoza was special.

    But Indiana was not just Mendoza.

    QUARTERBACK:

    This is the biggest storyline.

    Fernando Mendoza is gone, and now Josh Hoover comes in from TCU.

    And if you are going to replace a Heisman winner, this is about as interesting as it gets.

    Hoover has almost 10,000 career passing yards, more than 70 touchdown passes, and 31 career starts. There is nobody in college football coming back with more career passing production than him.

    But the question is not whether Hoover can throw.

    The question is whether he can play Indiana football.

    At TCU, Hoover was often in shootouts. He had to carry a lot. He had to make aggressive throws. Sometimes that meant big plays. Sometimes that meant turnovers.

    That will not fly here.

    Indiana does not live with sloppy quarterback play. Cignetti’s team was too good in turnover margin last year for that to suddenly become acceptable.

    Hoover completed 69% of his passes when kept clean last season, with 23 touchdowns and eight interceptions. Under pressure, he dropped to 49%, with five touchdowns and five interceptions, per PFF.

    That pressure number is the one to watch.

    The completion drop is normal. Every quarterback gets worse under pressure. But the interceptions cannot follow him to Bloomington.

    For comparison, Mendoza had 32 touchdowns and four interceptions from a clean pocket last year. Under pressure, he still had nine touchdowns and only two interceptions.

    That is a huge difference.

    Hoover does not need to become Mendoza. That is not fair.

    But he does need to be more controlled than he was at TCU.

    If Indiana protects him, I think he can put up big numbers.

    THE REST OF THE OFFENSE

    Indiana has to replace a lot.

    That is the part that keeps this from being automatic.

    The Hoosiers only bring back a handful of offensive starters, but one of them is a massive piece: Carter Smith, the Big Ten Offensive Lineman of the Year. He’s a redshirt senior lineman and getting him back at left tackle is huge for a new quarterback.

    That gives Hoover a foundation.

    Indiana also brings back Charlie Becker, who had 34 catches for 679 yards and four touchdowns last season. The problem is that Becker is the only one of Indiana’s top seven receivers in receiving yards who returns.

    That is a lot of lost production.

    The good news is Nick Marsh comes in from Michigan State, and he is a major addition. He had 59 catches for 662 yards and six touchdowns last season.

    So the top of the receiver room looks solid.

    Becker and Marsh give Hoover two real targets.

    The question is what comes after that.

    Indiana lost Cooper and Sarratt to the NFL, so the depth of the passing game has to be rebuilt. Somebody else has to emerge. Maybe it is Myles Kendrick. Maybe it is another young guy. Maybe the tight ends become more involved.

    But the passing game will look different.

    At running back, Indiana has options.

    Khobie Martin is back after getting meaningful work during the playoff run. He had 18 carries in the Alabama and Oregon games, which tells you Indiana trusted him in big moments.

    Then comes Turbo Richard, which is still one of the best names in college football. He transfers in from Boston College after rushing for 749 yards and nine touchdowns, while also catching 30 passes.

    Lee Beebe Jr. is also there after transferring from UAB, where he had a big role before last season.

    So Indiana has bodies.

    It has talent.

    But the offense has to find a new identity.

    Last year’s team could lean on Mendoza, the run game, the offensive line, elite third-down efficiency and a bunch of NFL-caliber skill talent.

    This year, the names are different.

    The standard is not.

    DEFENSE

    This is why I still trust Indiana.

    The defense should be really good again.

    Last year, Indiana allowed only 12.5 points per game, which ranked No. 3 nationally. The Hoosiers allowed 278.6 yards per game, which ranked No. 6.

    That is elite.

    And the way those numbers happened matters.

    Opponents passed on Indiana on 57% of their plays, the highest rate in the country. They only ran it on 42% of their plays, the lowest rate in the country.

    Why?

    Because Indiana was beating the brakes off people.

    Teams had to throw. They had to chase points. They had to abandon the run.

    Indiana also had the second-most sacks in the country and led the nation with 129 tackles for loss. That is not just a good defense. That is a defense that ruins your game plan.

    The Hoosiers bring back enough to feel good.

    Up front, Mario Landino and Tyrique Tucker are back at defensive tackle.

    At linebacker, Rolijah Hardy and Isaiah Jones return.

    The secondary has Amare Ferrell and Jamari Sharpe.

    Indiana also added some interesting transfers.

    Tobi Osunsanmi comes in from Kansas State, Josh Burnham comes in from Notre Dame, AJ Harris comes in from Penn State, Chiddi Obiazor comes in from Kansas State, and Preston Zachman comes in from Wisconsin.

    So yes, there are new faces.

    But this defense should be fine.

    Maybe it is not quite as dominant as last year. That is a high bar. But with the returning pieces, transfer additions and Cignetti’s overall program structure, I am not worried about Indiana falling apart on that side of the ball.

    If anything, the defense may be what gives Hoover time to settle in.

    SCHEDULE

    The schedule gives Indiana a chance to build into the season again.

    The Hoosiers open with four straight home games: North Texas, Howard, Western Kentucky and Northwestern. Indiana’s official schedule lists all four in Bloomington before the first road game.

    People are going to complain about the non-conference schedule.

    They did last year too.

    But Indiana is not going to apologize for it. The Hoosiers have used those starts to build rhythm, stay healthy and get ready for Big Ten play. It has worked.

    After that, things get real.

    Indiana goes on the road to Rutgers on Oct. 3 and Nebraska on Oct. 10. Then comes Ohio State in Bloomington on Oct. 17, followed by a trip to Michigan on Oct. 24.

    That is the stretch.

    That is where we find out a lot.

    I do not care if Rutgers and Nebraska are not Ohio State and Michigan. Back-to-back road games are still back-to-back road games. Then you come home for what could be one of the biggest games of the year against Ohio State. Then you turn around and go to the Big House.

    That is brutal.

    If Indiana gets through that stretch clean, or even close to clean, the Hoosiers are absolutely back in the national title conversation.

    After that, Indiana hosts Minnesota, gets a bye, hosts USC, goes to Washington, and finishes with Purdue at home.

    The USC-Washington stretch is interesting too.

    Getting USC after a bye helps. Going to Washington does not. Husky Stadium has been a nightmare for a lot of teams, and late November in Seattle is not exactly a friendly spot.

    But overall, the schedule is manageable for a team with national title expectations.

    The hard games are obvious.

    Ohio State, Michigan, USC, Washington, maybe Nebraska depending on how that team develops.

    The path is there.

    OUTLOOK

    The Hoosiers are the defending national champions. They have been in the playoff two straight years. They have one of the best coaches in the sport. They have an experienced quarterback coming in. They have one of the best offensive linemen in the country. They have enough receiver talent. They have a defense that should be very good again.

    This is not a fluke.

    But repeating is hard.

    Really hard.

    Indiana is replacing Fernando Mendoza, and you do not just replace a Heisman winner and No. 1 overall pick like it is nothing. The Hoosiers also lost a ton of receiving production and have to rebuild part of the offense.

    That is the concern.

    The optimistic case is that Josh Hoover walks in, takes care of the football, lets Cignetti structure the offense around him, leans on Carter Smith, gets the ball to Charlie Becker and Nick Marsh, and lets the defense keep Indiana in control of games.

    If that happens, Indiana can absolutely repeat.

    The worst-case scenario is that Hoover brings too much TCU chaos with him, the receiver room misses last year’s NFL talent, the run game takes time to settle, and the October stretch catches the Hoosiers before the new offense is fully comfortable.

    I am not saying going 16-0 again is likely. It is not. That is almost impossible to repeat.

    But this team is too well-coached, too disciplined and too talented to disappear.

    Last year, Indiana proved it could shock the sport.

    This year, the Hoosiers have to prove they can rule it when everybody sees them coming.

    Full disclosure: I use AI tools to format my research into an article encompassing all of the information.

  • 2026 preview: In year two of Albin era, can Charlotte get to a bowl game?

    2026 preview: In year two of Albin era, can Charlotte get to a bowl game?

    There is no reason to dress it up.

    Charlotte was one of the worst teams in college football last season.

    The 49ers went 1-11, finished 0-8 in the American, and their only win came against Monmouth, an FCS opponent. The offense was bad. The run game was almost nonexistent. The defense was not good enough to keep games close.

    So now Tim Albin has a real rebuild on his hands.

    And that is the interesting part.

    Albin has done this before. Before coming to Charlotte, he went 33-19 at Ohio, won a MAC championship, and helped put together three straight 10-win seasons. He was a two-time MAC Coach of the Year and the head coach of Ohio’s 2024 MAC title team.

    Now he has to prove he can bring that same kind of stability to a Charlotte program that badly needs it.

    HEAD COACH:

    • Tim Albin, entering year two at Charlotte
    • Charlotte went 1-11 last season.
    • The 49ers went 0-8 in the American.
    • Albin previously went 33-19 at Ohio.

    This is going to take time.

    Charlotte is not one player away. It is not one coordinator change away. This is a roster that needs improvement almost everywhere.

    The 49ers averaged only 260.6 yards per game last season, which ranked near the very bottom of the country. They also averaged just 2.5 yards per carry, which was basically dead last nationally.

    That is the number that tells the story.

    You cannot win consistently when you cannot run the football at all.

    Charlotte threw the ball on 54% of its plays last season, and that was probably not because the 49ers wanted to be some high-flying passing team. It was because they had to throw. They were behind. They could not run it. They could not control games.

    That has to change first.

    QUARTERBACK:

    The quarterback room is crowded, but not settled.

    Grayson Loftis is back after throwing for 1,415 yards, eight touchdowns and eight interceptions last season. Conner Harrell is also in the mix after throwing for 747 yards, four touchdowns and two interceptions, though he dealt with a brutal knee injury situation involving his ACL, meniscus and MCL.

    Then there is Cole Gonzales, who comes in after stops at Western Carolina and Pittsburgh. Charlotte’s official roster lists the quarterback group with Grayson Loftis, Conner Harrell, Cole Gonzales, Jaylen White and Luke McNulty.

    Gonzales is interesting because he put up huge numbers at Western Carolina before his brief stop at Pitt. He threw for more than 6,000 yards, 51 touchdowns and 22 interceptions in three years there.

    So there are options.

    But somebody has to separate.

    Charlotte cannot go into the season still guessing at quarterback. Whether it is Loftis, Harrell, Gonzales or someone else, the 49ers need one guy to take control of the offense.

    And whoever wins the job needs help.

    A lot of help.

    THE REST OF THE OFFENSE

    The run game has to be the first fix.

    Charlotte brings back Jariel Cobb and Henry Rutledge, and the 49ers added more bodies to the room. Khamani Alexander comes in from Appalachian State, D’Mariun Perteet comes in at running back, and Chance Williams is also on the roster.  

    That does not automatically mean the run game is fixed.

    But at least there are options.

    The offensive line also got a major transfer addition with J’Ven Williams from Penn State. Charlotte lists Williams as a 6-foot-5, 315-pound redshirt junior offensive lineman from Penn State.

    He joins a group that includes Kristos Fernandez, who is back up front.

    That offensive line is probably the most important unit on the team.

    If Charlotte cannot block better, it will not matter who plays quarterback. It will not matter how many running backs are in the room. It will not matter what Albin wants the offense to look like.

    The 49ers have to get more physical.

    They have to create easier downs.

    They have to stop living in obvious passing situations.

    That is step one of the rebuild.

    DEFENSE

    The defense was not good enough either.

    Opponents ran the ball on 56% of their plays against Charlotte last season, and they completed 67% of their passes. That is a bad combination.

    When teams can run on you and complete passes that easily, they get to play the game however they want.

    That is exactly what happened to Charlotte too often.

    The key returning names are Jamarrion Solomon, Jaylon Johnson, Kadin Schmitz and CJ Clinkscales Jr. Solomon and Johnson are on the defensive line, Schmitz is at linebacker and Clinkscales is in the secondary.

    That group gives the defense a few pieces to build around.

    But this unit needs a much bigger jump than just “a few guys are back.”

    Charlotte gave up too many easy drives. It could not consistently stop the run. It could not make opponents uncomfortable enough in the passing game.

    The 49ers do not need to become elite overnight.

    But they have to become competitive.

    SCHEDULE

    The schedule lets us know pretty quickly whether Charlotte is better.

    The 49ers open with The Citadel, and that is a game they need to win.

    Then things get real fast.

    Charlotte goes to Ole Miss on Sept. 12, then goes to Appalachian State on Sept. 19. After that, the 49ers host Louisiana and Memphis. Charlotte’s 2026 schedule has that opening stretch, followed by road games at North Texas and Temple, then Tulane, UAB, East Carolina, Tulsa and Navy to close the year.

    That is not easy for a team coming off a 1-11 season.

    The Ole Miss game is probably too much. The App State game is a measuring stick. The American schedule gives Charlotte some chances, but not many freebies.

    The biggest thing is the start.

    If Charlotte beats The Citadel and looks more competent against Ole Miss and App State, maybe there is something to build on.

    If the offense still cannot move the ball, it could be another long season.

    OUTLOOK

    I think Charlotte will be better.

    It would be hard not to be.

    But the question is how much better.

    The 49ers need a quarterback to win the job. They need the offensive line to be dramatically better. They need one of the running backs to become a real answer. They need the defense to stop letting opponents control the game.

    That is a lot.

    The best-case scenario is that Gonzales, Loftis or Harrell settles the quarterback job, J’Ven Williams helps change the offensive line, the run game becomes at least respectable, and the defense improves enough to keep Charlotte in games.

    If that happens, maybe Charlotte can find a path toward a few wins and start building real momentum under Albin.

    The worst-case scenario is that the offense still cannot run the ball, the quarterback battle never gets settled, and the defense remains one of the weaker units in the American.

    Full disclosure: I use AI tools to format my research into an article encompassing all of the information.

  • Army season outlook: Could the Black Knights win the American?

    Army season outlook: Could the Black Knights win the American?

    Most casual fans only pay attention to Army once a year.

    And to be fair, Army-Navy deserves that spotlight. It is one of the best traditions in college football, and there is a reason it gets its own standalone weekend.

    But this year, Army might be worth watching before December.

    The Black Knights went 7-6 last season after a rough start, but they are 19-8 over the last two years. Jeff Monken is back for year 13 at West Point, and Army returns the most offensive snap production in the country. Monken is 89-63 at Army, and the Black Knights are 19-8 since the start of the 2024 season.

    That is enough to get my attention. It should get yours too.

    HEAD COACH:

    • Jeff Monken, entering year 13 at Army
    • Monken is 89-63 with the Black Knights.
    • Army went 7-6 last season.

    You know what Army is going to be.

    The Black Knights are going to run the ball. They are going to make you defend option football. They are going to shorten the game. They are going to make every possession feel important.

    That style is not always pretty, but it can be brutal to play against.

    Just ask Kansas State.

    Army went on the road and beat the Wildcats last season, and Kansas State barely had the ball in the second half. That is what Army can do when the offense is working. It can make a better roster stand on the sideline and watch.

    The question is whether Army can find just a little more offense.

    The Black Knights averaged 23.6 points per game last year. With the way they run the ball and control the clock, if they can get closer to 30 points per game, they can win a lot of games in the American.

    QUARTERBACK:

    The offense starts with Cale Hellums.

    Hellums is not going to throw it 35 times a game. That is not Army football.

    Last year, he attempted only 87 passes, completing 47 for 694 yards, four touchdowns and three interceptions.

    As most option quarterbacks do, Hellums did most of his damage on the ground.

    Hellums ran 304 times for 1,223 yards and 18 touchdowns. Army’s official bio notes those 18 rushing touchdowns were the second-most in a season in program history, behind only Bryson Daily’s 32 in 2024.

    That is the offense.

    Hellums is going to carry it. He is going to make the reads. He is going to take hits. He is going to keep drives alive.

    Would you like him to throw a little more? Sure.

    But Army does not need him to become a traditional quarterback. It needs him to stay healthy, protect the football and keep the machine moving.

    THE REST OF THE OFFENSE

    This is where Army should feel good.

    The Black Knights return 72% of their offensive snaps, the most in the nation in all of FBS.

    This offense is not easy to prepare for, but it also is not easy to execute. Timing, discipline and experience are everything. When you bring back this much of the offense, it gives you a real chance to be even better in the small details.

    The key names include Samari Howard at slotback, Brady Anderson at receiver and Parker Poloskey at tight end. Howard played in all 13 games last year and started 12, while Anderson was Army’s second-leading receiver with 381 yards on 14 catches.

    The offensive line also has a lot coming back.

    Henry Appleton, Paolo Gennarelli, Brady Small and Teddy Williams are returning pieces up front. Williams and Appleton both started all 13 games last season, and Army’s bio notes that line helped block for 3,485 rushing yards while allowing only seven sacks, the best mark in FBS.

    Army already wants to run the ball more than anybody. With the quarterback returning and an experienced line in front of him, there is no reason this should not be one of the best rushing attacks in the country again.

    DEFENSE

    The defense is the bigger question.

    Army allowed 20.9 points per game last season and 343.5 yards per game, which is good enough to win with this offense.

    But the Black Knights do not return nearly as much on defense as they do on offense.

    That is the concern.

    The key returning names are Jack Bousum, Kody Harris-Miller and Jaydan Mayes. Bousum gives Army a proven piece up front, Harris-Miller started seven games on the defensive line last year, and Mayes is listed on the official roster as a senior cornerback.

    Army does not need to be elite defensively.

    It just needs to be solid.

    Because the offense helps the defense in a different way. If Army is holding the ball for long drives and limiting possessions, the defense is not facing 80 snaps every week.

    That is the formula.

    Run the ball. Shorten the game. Win turnover margin. Make opponents uncomfortable.

    Army was plus-0.7 in turnover margin per game last season. That fits exactly how this team wants to play.

    If the defense can hold up, the offense can do the rest.

    SCHEDULE

    The schedule has a weird rhythm.

    Army opens with two home games: Bryant and South Florida. Then come back-to-back road games at Temple and Louisiana Tech. Then two more home games against Tulane and Florida Atlantic. Then back-to-back road games at Tulsa and Memphis.

    That pattern keeps going.

    Army hosts Air Force and East Carolina, then goes to Rice, and then finishes with Navy in East Rutherford, New Jersey.

    So it is basically two at home, two on the road, two at home, two on the road, two at home, then Rice and Navy.

    I do not love all the back-to-back road spots.

    But I do like that the schedule gives Army chances.

    South Florida, Tulane, Memphis, Air Force, East Carolina and Navy are the games that will probably define the season. If Army is going to compete near the top of the American, those are the types of games it has to win.

    OUTLOOK

    I think Army can be good.

    Maybe really good in the American.

    The Black Knights have the quarterback. They have the offensive line. They have the system. They have a coach who has proven this can work. And they bring back more offensive experience than anybody in the country.

    That is the optimistic case.

    The concern is the defense and the schedule rhythm.

    Army is not bringing back nearly as much defensively, and those back-to-back road stretches are not ideal. If the defense slips and the offense is still stuck around 24 points per game, it could be hard to make a major jump.

    But if Hellums stays healthy and the offense climbs closer to that 30-point range, Army can absolutely be in the mix.

    Full disclosure: I use AI tools to format my research into an article encompassing all of the information.

  • Illinois 2026 season outlook: Can Bret Bielema push the Illini from good to dangerous?

    Illinois 2026 season outlook: Can Bret Bielema push the Illini from good to dangerous?

    The last two seasons under Bret Bielema are not just good by recent Illinois standards.

    They are historic.

    Illinois has won 19 games over the last two seasons, which is the most wins in a two-year stretch in program history. The Illini also posted the first back-to-back nine-win seasons in school history. That is a big deal at Illinois.

    And yet, it still feels like there is another step sitting out there.

    The Illini went 9-4 last year and 5-4 in the Big Ten. They were good. They were solid. They won a bowl game. But they were not really a major factor in the Big Ten title race.

    That is the question now.

    Can Illinois go from good story to real Big Ten problem?

    HEAD COACH:

    • Bret Bielema, entering year six at Illinois
    • Bielema is 37-26 with the Illini.
    • Illinois went 9-4 last season.

    I think we can stop wondering whether Bret Bielema has stabilized Illinois.

    He has.

    That does not mean Illinois is Ohio State. It does not mean Illinois is Oregon. It does not mean the Illini are suddenly a yearly College Football Playoff lock.

    But this program is no longer a doormat.

    And that matters.

    Illinois has become a team that expects to win eight or nine games. That is a very different conversation than where this program has been for most of its modern history.

    The issue now is ceiling.

    Illinois has beaten good teams. It has been tough. It has won bowl games. It has become respectable.

    But when the Illini have played the top of the Big Ten, it has not always looked close enough. Last year, Indiana absolutely blasted Illinois 63-10 on its way to a national title. The Illini also lost to Ohio State. The year before, they lost to Oregon when the Ducks were No. 1.

    Now, to be fair, a lot of people lose to those teams.

    That is not the problem.

    The problem is whether Illinois can become more competitive in those games while still beating the teams it should beat.

    That is how you go from nice season to special season.

    QUARTERBACK:

    This is the biggest change.

    Luke Altmyer is gone, and that is not small.

    Altmyer was not perfect, but he gave Illinois exactly what Bielema wanted at quarterback. He protected the football, made enough plays and kept the Illini out of disasters.

    Over his final two seasons, Altmyer threw 44 touchdowns and only 11 interceptions.

    That is a huge reason Illinois won 19 games.

    Now the job goes to Katin Houser, the transfer from East Carolina. Houser is a senior quarterback has who one year of eligibility remaining after throwing for 6,438 career yards, 43 touchdowns and adding 15 rushing touchdowns across his first four college seasons.

    I like this move.

    Houser has played real football. He is not some total unknown stepping into the Big Ten and trying to figure everything out from scratch.

    Last season at East Carolina, he completed 65.9% of his passes for 3,300 yards, 19 touchdowns and six interceptions. He also ran for nine touchdowns.

    That is a good starting point.

    He also played well against Power 4 competition last yaer. Against NC State, he threw for 366 yards and a touchdown. Against BYU, he threw for 285 yards, though he also had two interceptions.

    But can he be productive without giving the ball away?

    Because Illinois has won under Bielema by avoiding mistakes. If Houser gives Illinois the same kind of efficiency Altmyer gave them, the Illini can be good again.

    If the interceptions creep up, that changes everything.

    The running ability helps too. Houser is not just a statue. If he can give Illinois a little more quarterback run-game value than Altmyer did, that adds another layer.

    THE REST OF THE OFFENSE

    The offense has some pieces, but there is a lot to sort out.

    Ca’Lil Valentine is back at running back, and he is probably the first name to know. He ran 131 times for 614 yards and four touchdowns last season. He also caught 10 passes.

    The interesting part is that Valentine was not really treated like a workhorse.

    He only had 10-plus carries in four games.

    That is not what you typically picture when you think of a Bret Bielema offense. You think of the old Wisconsin style. Big backs. Big offensive linemen. A run game that just keeps coming at you.

    Illinois has not really had that kind of true bell-cow back lately.

    Maybe Valentine becomes more of that this year.

    He may need to.

    Because when you are breaking in a new quarterback, the easiest way to help him is to run the football.

    At receiver, Hudson Clement and Collin Dixon are back. Those are important pieces because Houser needs targets who already understand the offense. Illinois also added Alex Perry from FIU, and that is one of the more interesting transfer additions. Perry is listed by Illinois as a 6-foot-5 wide receiver coming in from FIU.

    Perry gives Illinois size and production. He had 56 catches, more than 800 yards and nine touchdowns last season.

    That is the kind of player who can change the passing game quickly if it translates.

    Up front, Brandon Henderson is back, and Illinois added Jake Renfro from Wisconsin and Christian Martin from Colorado State.

    Renfro is especially interesting because he has real experience and was previously an all-conference type player at Cincinnati before injuries complicated things.

    So the offense has answers.

    But it is not automatic.

    New quarterback. New offensive line pieces. New receiver help. A running back who has to prove he can handle more.

    There is enough here to be good.

    The question is whether there is enough here to scare the top of the Big Ten.

    DEFENSE

    The defense is where things get really interesting to me.

    Illinois brings back some experience in the secondary with Matthew Bailey, Juice Clarke and Tanner Heckel.

    Clark was honorable mention All-Big Ten last year and had seven pass breakups despite missing the first four games.

    That secondary experience matters because Illinois lost a lot of production elsewhere.

    The Illini return only around 35% of their snaps, and the defense returns even less than the offense. That is a lot of turnover.

    But the biggest defensive storyline is not a player.

    It is Bobby Hauck.

    Hauck is the new defensive coordinator, and I love this hire.

    This is a guy who has won everywhere at the FCS level. Hauck had 151 victories, 13 playoff appearances, four national championship game appearances and eight conference titles during his head-coaching career. His defenses at Montana were built around an aggressive 3-3-5 scheme.

    That is not some random assistant moving up the ladder.

    That is a real head coach choosing to become a defensive coordinator because the current job of being a college football head coach is exhausting.

    I think that matters.

    Illinois needed some new energy on defense, and Hauck should bring that.

    The Illini were not awful defensively last year. They allowed about 23.6 points per game on the full season, according to Illinois’ official stats.

    But they also did not always feel like a defense that could control games against the best teams.

    That is the next step.

    If Hauck’s defense is aggressive, creates takeaways and lets the secondary play fast, Illinois could be better than people expect on that side of the ball.

    But there is risk.

    New coordinator. New system. Limited returning production.

    This could take time.

    SCHEDULE

    I actually like this schedule for Illinois.

    Not because it is easy. It is not easy.

    But it is manageable in the right ways.

    Illinois opens with three straight home games: UAB, Duke and Southern Illinois. The Illini then go to Ohio State on Sept. 26 for the first road game of the season.

    That might be the toughest road game in the country, depending on how the Buckeyes look. Illinois is going to learn a lot about itself there.

    After that, Illinois gets Purdue at home, goes to Michigan State, gets a bye, then hosts Oregon.

    That Oregon game is fascinating.

    If you are going to play Oregon, you would love to get the Ducks at home and after a bye. That is about as good of a setup as Illinois could ask for.

    Then the Illini go to Maryland, host Nebraska on a Friday night, go to UCLA on another Friday night, host Iowa, and finish at Northwestern.

    The best thing about the schedule?

    No back-to-back road games.

    Illinois does have to go to Ohio State. It does have to make the long trip to UCLA. It does have to play Oregon.

    But the road games outside Ohio State are Michigan State, Maryland, UCLA and Northwestern.

    Illinois fans are going to expect to win a lot of those.

    The Illini also avoid Indiana, which matters after what happened last year.

    So yes, the schedule has two monster games with Ohio State and Oregon.

    But it also gives Illinois a path to another strong season if it handles the games it should handle.

    OUTLOOK

    I understand why Illinois fans are excited.

    They should be.

    This program is in a better place than it has been in a long time. Bielema has made Illinois steady. The Illini have won 19 games in two years. They have a quarterback in Katin Houser who has real production. They have a running back in Ca’Lil Valentine who could take on a bigger role. They have some receiver options. They have a fascinating defensive coordinator in Bobby Hauck.

    And the schedule is not bad.

    But I also think there are fair questions.

    Can Houser protect the ball like Altmyer did?

    Can the run game become more physical and consistent?

    Can the offensive line come together with new pieces?

    Can Hauck’s defense work quickly enough in the Big Ten?

    Can Illinois avoid the weird losses to teams like Minnesota, Washington or Wisconsin that have kept the Illini from being more than just solid?

    That is the difference.

    Illinois has already proven it can be good.

    Now it has to prove it can be more than good.

    The best-case scenario is that Houser gives Illinois efficient quarterback play, Valentine becomes a real lead back, Perry adds size and explosiveness at receiver, and Hauck’s defense creates more disruption right away.

    If that happens, Illinois can win nine or 10 games again.

    The worst-case scenario is that Houser throws too many interceptions, the offense misses Altmyer’s steadiness, the defense takes time under Hauck, and the Ohio State-Oregon portion of the schedule exposes the gap between Illinois and the top of the Big Ten.

    Bielema has built a program that no longer feels like a one-year fluke. Illinois is not just hoping to be relevant anymore.

    Now the Illini are trying to prove they can stay relevant.

    And maybe, if Houser hits and Hauck’s defense clicks, they can become something more than that.

    Full disclosure: I use AI tools to format my research into an article encompassing all of the information.


  • 2026 preview: With Angeli back, can Syracuse be a bowl team — or more — in the ACC?

    2026 preview: With Angeli back, can Syracuse be a bowl team — or more — in the ACC?

    People forget how good Syracuse looked early last season.

    That feels strange now because the season ended so badly, but before Steve Angeli got hurt, the Orange looked interesting. Not perfect. Not like an ACC title favorite. But dangerous.

    They played a high-scoring game against Tennessee. Angeli threw five touchdowns against Colgate. He played really well at Clemson, and Syracuse pulled one of the bigger ACC surprises of the year.

    Then Angeli got hurt.

    And everything fell apart.

    Syracuse started 3-1 with Angeli involved and then did not win another game. The Orange finished 3-9, and the year went from promising to ugly fast.

    So now the question is pretty simple.

    What does Syracuse look like if Angeli actually stays healthy?

    HEAD COACH:

    • Fran Brown, entering year three at Syracuse
    • Brown is 13-12 with the Orange.
    • Syracuse went 3-9 last season.
    • The Orange started 3-1 before the season collapsed.
    • Syracuse has had only three 10-win seasons since 1993.

    I still think Fran Brown has something here.

    I know last year ended terribly. There is no way to sugarcoat that. Syracuse lost eight straight after Angeli went down, and some of those losses were not close.

    But the beginning of the season mattered too.

    Syracuse went into Clemson and won. That does not happen by accident, even if Clemson was not the old Clemson. The Orange had a quarterback, had confidence and looked like a team that could be annoying in the ACC.

    Then the injury changed the whole season.

    That is not an excuse for everything. The defense was bad. The offense did not have enough answers. The backup quarterback plan was not good enough.

    But it is context.

    Now Brown has to prove Syracuse is closer to the team we saw in September than the team we saw after Angeli got hurt.

    That is the entire season.

    QUARTERBACK:

    Steve Angeli is back, and that is the reason Syracuse fans should have some hope.

    He threw for 1,317 yards, 10 touchdowns and only two interceptions last season. But the raw numbers do not really explain why I like him so much.

    The dude is not afraid to throw the ball down the field.

    Angeli went 13-of-27 on deep balls last season for 436 yards, five touchdowns and no interceptions. By deep balls, I mean throws traveling 20-plus air yards.

    That is exactly what I want to see.

    He also threw 27 deep balls compared to only 10 passes behind the line of scrimmage. That is wild.

    A lot of quarterbacks live on screens, quick throws and easy completions. Angeli was pushing the ball vertically. He was giving Syracuse a real chance to create explosive plays.

    That is what made the offense fun early.

    The pressure numbers were interesting too. He completed about 64% of his passes from a clean pocket and right around 60% under pressure. He did not throw a touchdown or an interception under pressure, but he did not completely fall apart either.

    The concern is obvious.

    Can he stay healthy?

    Because last year showed what happens if he cannot.

    Syracuse brought in insurance this time. Amari Odom is on the roster after coming from Kennesaw State, Malachi Nelson is there as the former five-star, and Danny Lauter came in from Georgetown. Syracuse’s official roster lists Angeli, Odom, Nelson and Lauter in the quarterback room, so the Orange at least have more options than they had when last year fell apart.

    That matters.

    But let’s be honest.

    If Syracuse is going to surprise people, it is probably because Angeli stays healthy and plays like the guy we saw early last year.

    THE REST OF THE OFFENSE

    The offense was awful after Angeli got hurt.

    Syracuse averaged only 16 points per game last season. The Orange averaged just 3.3 yards per rush. They were not in the top 100 nationally in basically any meaningful offensive statistic.

    Some of that was the quarterback injury. Some of it was the offensive line. Some of it was a lack of playmakers. Some of it was everything stacking on top of itself.

    The good news is Syracuse does bring back Joe Cruz and Trevion Mack on the offensive line. The official roster lists Cruz and Mack as returning offensive linemen, and those two have to be part of the answer up front.

    The bad news is there is still a lot to figure out.

    The receiver room has options, but not a ton of proven ACC production.

    Cole Weaver comes in from Miami (Ohio) after catching 45 passes for 642 yards and a touchdown last season. That is the most proven college production of the group.

    Elijah Moore comes in from Florida State, and Matthew Outten comes in from Penn State. Both are interesting talents, but they did not do much at their previous stops. Syracuse’s official roster lists Weaver, Moore and Outten at wide receiver.

    So somebody has to emerge.

    That is the key.

    Angeli can throw it deep, but somebody has to win down the field. Somebody has to become reliable on third down. Somebody has to scare defenses enough that Syracuse is not just asking Angeli to make perfect throws every week.

    At running back, Ju’Juan Johnson transfers in from LSU. He had 41 carries for 155 yards and two touchdowns last season, and he also caught 17 passes. Syracuse lists Johnson as a running back on the 2026 roster.

    That receiving ability could matter.

    Because if Syracuse cannot run the ball better, it needs easy touches somewhere.

    The offense does not have to be elite.

    But it has to be functional when Angeli is not hitting deep shots.

    That is the part we still have to see.

    DEFENSE

    This side of the ball needed a reset.

    Syracuse allowed 36 points per game last season. The Orange gave up 430 yards per game. That is not just bad. That is the kind of defense that makes it hard to even evaluate the rest of the team.

    When the offense lost Angeli and stopped moving the ball, the defense got exposed even more.

    But the defense was not good enough regardless.

    That is why the Vince Kehres hire matters so much.

    Kehres comes over from Toledo, where he led one of the nation’s top defenses in 2025. Toledo ranked near the top nationally in several categories under Kehres, including total defense, scoring defense, passing defense, rushing defense, sacks, red zone defense and third-down defense.

    That is a strong résumé.

    Now he has to prove it translates to the ACC.

    The returning defensive names include Gary Bryant III, Antoine Deslauriers, Chris Peal, Cornell Perry and Demetres Samuel Jr.

    That gives Kehres some pieces to work with.

    But this is not a small fix.

    The Orange need to be better everywhere. They need to tackle better. They need to get off the field. They need to avoid giving up explosive plays. They need to make opponents actually earn points.

    Last year, once things started going wrong, they snowballed.

    A new defensive coordinator does not magically fix everything.

    But this was the right kind of swing.

    If Kehres can make Syracuse even average defensively, the Orange can be much more competitive.

    SCHEDULE

    The schedule is tricky.

    Syracuse opens at home against New Hampshire, then hosts Cal. After that, the Orange hit the road for three straight: at Pittsburgh, at UConn and at Virginia.

    That is a rough setup.

    The Cal game is on Sept. 12. The Pitt game is on Sept. 17.

    So Syracuse has only a short break between Cal and a Thursday road game at Pitt.

    Then comes an extended bye before UConn, which helps, but it still means Syracuse goes more than a month without another home game.

    That is not ideal.

    After the road stretch, Syracuse hosts Louisville, goes to North Carolina, then hosts SMU and Clemson. The official schedule has Louisville on Oct. 17, North Carolina on Oct. 24, SMU on Oct. 31 and Clemson on Nov. 7.

    Those home games are big names.

    Louisville thinks it can contend in the ACC. SMU has Kevin Jennings back and expects to be near the top of the league. Clemson will want revenge after what happened last year.

    Then Syracuse goes to NC State and Boston College before finishing at home against Notre Dame.

    That Notre Dame game is a fun storyline.

    Angeli came from Notre Dame. Syracuse did not really get the proper Angeli-against-Notre-Dame game last year because he was hurt and the Orange were a mess. This time, Notre Dame comes to Syracuse to end the regular season.

    That could be fun.

    But the schedule overall is not easy.

    The strange part is that many of the biggest opponents come to Syracuse: Cal, Louisville, SMU, Clemson and Notre Dame.

    That sounds good.

    But the more winnable games — UConn, Virginia, North Carolina, NC State and Boston College — are on the road.

    That is what makes this schedule hard to project.

    If Syracuse protects home field and steals a couple road games, the season can look pretty good.

    If the Orange struggle away from home, it can get ugly again.

    OUTLOOK

    Syracuse is hard to figure out because last season feels like two different seasons.

    There was the Steve Angeli version.

    Then there was everything after that.

    The Angeli version was fun. The Orange could throw it deep. They could score. They could beat Clemson. They looked like a team with a pulse.

    The post-Angeli version was a disaster.

    So what do we trust?

    I lean toward believing Syracuse is better than last year’s final record, but I am not ready to go crazy with it.

    The best-case scenario is that Angeli stays healthy, the deep passing game comes back, one of the new receivers becomes a real target, Johnson helps the backfield, the offensive line improves and Kehres fixes enough of the defense to keep Syracuse in games.

    If that happens, Syracuse can absolutely be a bowl team.

    The worst-case scenario is that Angeli gets hurt again, the offensive line still cannot open run lanes, the receivers do not separate, and the defense remains a mess even with a new coordinator.

    If that happens, last year’s collapse could start to feel less like an injury story and more like a roster problem.

    Syracuse is going to be better. But the schedule makes a huge jump difficult.

    The Orange have the quarterback to be interesting. They have a defensive coordinator worth believing in. They have brought in enough portal pieces to avoid being helpless if injuries hit again.

    Now they need the version of Syracuse we saw early last year to show up for 12 games.

    Because if Steve Angeli stays healthy, this team is not boring.

    And after last year, boring would be a big upgrade anyway.

    Full disclosure: I use AI tools to format my research into an article encompassing all of the information.

  • 2026 preview: Can Franklin make Virginia Tech nationally relevant again?

    2026 preview: Can Franklin make Virginia Tech nationally relevant again?

    Man, things feel different for James Franklin now than they did a year ago.

    Last offseason, the conversation around Franklin was simple: Penn State had the best roster he was probably ever going to have, and it felt like a now-or-never year.

    Then it all fell apart.

    Now Franklin gets a fresh start at Virginia Tech, and honestly, this might be one of the more interesting Year 1 situations in the entire country.

    The Hokies were bad last season. They went 3-9, finished 2-6 in the ACC, and never looked close to being the program people remember from the Frank Beamer years.

    But there are pieces here.

    A lot of them.

    And for a coach like Franklin, that makes this fascinating.

    HEAD COACH:

    • James Franklin, entering year one at Virginia Tech
    • Franklin is 128-60 as a college head coach.
    • Virginia Tech went 3-9 last season and 2-6 in the ACC.
    • The Hokies have not won 10 games since 2016.
    • Virginia Tech won 10 games every year from 2004-2011, but only once since.

    It is still hard to believe Virginia Tech has been this far away from national relevance for this long.

    There was a time when the Hokies were not just an ACC factor. They were a national factor. Beamer had that thing rolling. Blacksburg was a nightmare road trip. Lane Stadium felt like a place where weird things happened and ranked teams went to die.

    That has not been the case lately.

    Virginia Tech has not won 10 games since 2016. That is wild for anyone who remembers what this program used to be.

    That is why Franklin is such an interesting hire.

    You can criticize what happened at Penn State. You can point out that he did not beat Ohio State and Michigan enough. You can say he never quite got Penn State over the top.

    But Virginia Tech would love to have Penn State’s problems right now.

    Franklin won 10 games six times in his final nine seasons at Penn State. He knows how to build a winning program, and Virginia Tech is not asking him to beat Ohio State in Year 1. It is asking him to make the Hokies relevant again.

    That feels doable.

    The other interesting piece is Brent Pry.

    Pry was fired as Virginia Tech’s head coach, then returned as Franklin’s defensive coordinator and linebackers coach. That is a strange situation on paper, but it also gives the staff some continuity. Pry knows the roster. He knows the building. He knows the league. And Franklin knows Pry well from their time together at Penn State and Vanderbilt.

    That does not guarantee it works.

    But it makes this one of the most fascinating staffs in the ACC.

    QUARTERBACK:

    The quarterback is Ethan Grunkemeyer, and that is where the Penn State connection really matters.

    Grunkemeyer followed Franklin from Penn State to Virginia Tech, and he appears to be the guy. Virginia Tech’s official roster lists him as a redshirt sophomore quarterback from Penn State, and his official bio says he played in 11 games last season, started the final seven, completed 69% of his passes for 1,339 yards and eight touchdowns.

    That is a solid starting point.

    It is not superstar stuff. It is not “hand him the Heisman campaign” stuff. But it is real experience.

    Grunkemeyer went 4-3 as a starter last season, and the losses came against Iowa, Ohio State and eventual national champion Indiana. That matters. If your losses come against teams like that, I am not going to crush you for the record.

    The concern is the lack of explosive passing.

    He did not throw for 300 yards in any game last season. He also was not a high-volume deep-ball guy, going 6-of-22 on throws of 20-plus air yards, with one touchdown and one interception.

    That is something to watch.

    Virginia Tech does not need him to be reckless, but it does need more downfield juice than it had last year. The Hokies’ offense was way too limited. They ran the ball a ton, but they did not score enough. They could not consistently scare teams through the air.

    The encouraging part is that Grunkemeyer was good when kept clean and actually held up well under pressure.

    He completed 74% of his passes from a clean pocket and 56% under pressure. That pressure number is pretty good, especially for a quarterback with limited starting experience.

    So the question is not whether he can play.

    The question is whether he can become more than just steady.

    If Grunkemeyer is a smart, efficient quarterback who protects the ball and lets the roster around him work, Virginia Tech can be much better.

    If he becomes a quarterback who can also hit explosives, the Hokies get a lot more interesting.

    THE REST OF THE OFFENSE

    This is where Virginia Tech has a chance to help its new quarterback.

    The Hokies bring back a lot.

    A lot.

    Virginia Tech returns 14 starters, which is near the top of the country. It also returns 62% of its snaps, which is top five nationally. In the transfer-portal era, that kind of continuity matters.

    Now, I know what some people will say.

    “Do you really want that many guys back from a 3-9 team?”

    Fair question.

    But I think there is value in having players who have started ACC games, taken the hits, learned what does not work and now get a reset with a proven head coach.

    That can matter.

    The offense starts with Marcellous Hawkins at running back. He is listed on the official roster as a redshirt senior running back, and he gives Virginia Tech a bigger, experienced option in the backfield.

    Hawkins ran for 749 yards last season, and if Franklin wants to play physical football, he is going to be important.

    At receiver, the names to know are Ayden Greene and Takye Heath. Virginia Tech’s official roster lists Greene as a senior wide receiver and Heath as a redshirt junior wide receiver.

    Greene had 31 catches for 516 yards and three touchdowns last season. That is a good piece to have back.

    Then Virginia Tech added Que’Sean Brown from Duke, and that is a big one. The official roster lists Brown as a wide receiver from Duke, and he gives the Hokies a proven ACC target.

    Brown caught 64 passes last year while playing with Darian Mensah in that Duke offense. That is exactly the kind of transfer piece Virginia Tech needed.

    The tight end room also gets interesting because Benji Gosnell is back, and Luke Reynolds comes over from Penn State. Virginia Tech’s roster lists both Gosnell and Reynolds at tight end.

    So there are options.

    The offensive line may be the biggest key.

    The Hokies have names back and brought in help. The roster includes Kyle Altuner, Johnny Garrett, Layth Ghannam, Aidan Lynch, Logan Howland, Justin Terry and Michael Troutman III among the offensive linemen.

    That group has to be better in pass protection.

    Last year, Virginia Tech was not good enough there. If Grunkemeyer is going to be more than a game manager, he needs time. If Hawkins is going to carry the run game, the line has to move people.

    The offense does not need to become elite overnight.

    But it has to be competent.

    Last year, Virginia Tech ran the ball at about the same rate as Penn State but scored about 10 fewer points per game. That tells you the style was not the only problem.

    The execution was.

    Franklin has to fix that quickly.

    DEFENSE

    This is where the Brent Pry piece gets fascinating.

    Virginia Tech was bad defensively last season.

    There is really no way around it.

    The Hokies allowed too many points, gave up too many yards, and never felt like a team that could lean on its defense when things got hard.

    That is a problem at Virginia Tech.

    When this program has been good, defense has been part of the identity. Special teams, defense, toughness, home-field energy — that was the Virginia Tech formula for years.

    Now Pry is back in a defensive coordinator role, which is probably where he is most comfortable.

    And there are some pieces.

    The defensive line includes Kemari Copeland and Elhadj Fall. The linebacker group includes Noah Chambers. The secondary has Isaiah Brown-Murray, Tyson Flowers and Thomas Williams among the names to know. Virginia Tech’s official roster confirms those spellings and positions.

    The Hokies also added defensive help through the portal.

    Keon Wylie comes in from Penn State. Kaleb Spencer comes in from Miami. Jaquez White comes in from Troy, and he is especially interesting after a strong season there. Virginia Tech’s roster lists Wylie, Spencer and White on the defensive side of the ball.

    White is a name I would watch.

    He had a big year at Troy and gives Virginia Tech a corner with real production. That matters because the Hokies need the secondary to be better, especially with the road games they have later in the year.

    The defense does not have to become vintage Bud Foster overnight.

    That is not realistic.

    But it has to be tougher. It has to be more organized. It has to stop giving away easy points.

    If Pry can get the defense to just be solid, Virginia Tech’s win total can jump.

    If it is actually good?

    Then the Hokies become one of the more interesting teams in the ACC.

    SCHEDULE

    The schedule can be viewed two different ways.

    The first half gives Virginia Tech a chance.

    The second half gets real.

    The Hokies open with VMI and Old Dominion at home. Then they play back-to-back road games at Maryland and Boston College. After that, they host Pitt on a Friday night before going to Cal on Oct. 10. That is the official early schedule.

    I do not want to disrespect Maryland or Boston College, but if you are Virginia Tech, you can talk yourself into a good start.

    The first two are at home. Maryland is a Power Four road game, but not one that should terrify you. Boston College is a league road game, but also not one that feels impossible.

    There is a world where Virginia Tech is 4-0 going into the Pitt game.

    I am not saying it will happen.

    But it is possible.

    That is what makes the Pitt-Cal stretch so important.

    If the Hokies start well, Pitt at home and Cal on the road could turn the season into something fun very quickly.

    But after that, the schedule gets harder.

    Virginia Tech hosts Georgia Tech, goes to Clemson, then after a break goes to SMU on Nov. 6. The Hokies then host Stanford, go to Miami, and finish at home against Virginia.

    That is not easy.

    The road trips are the issue.

    Virginia Tech plays at Cal and at SMU, which puts the Hokies in the group of ACC teams dealing with two of the longer travel spots in the league. They also go to Clemson and Miami.

    That is a lot.

    The good news is the first two games are at home, and the Hokies get Virginia at home to end the year.

    The bad news is that the ACC road schedule is rough.

    If Virginia Tech is going to surprise people, it probably has to bank wins early.

    Because late October and November are not forgiving.

    OUTLOOK

    I am intrigued by Virginia Tech.

    That is probably the best way to say it.

    This is not a team I am ready to pick for the ACC Championship Game. Not yet.

    But I absolutely understand why people are going to talk themselves into the Hokies.

    James Franklin is a proven head coach. Ethan Grunkemeyer gives them a quarterback who knows the system and has played real football. Marcellous Hawkins gives them a running back. Ayden Greene, Takye Heath and Que’Sean Brown give them receivers. Benji Gosnell and Luke Reynolds give them tight end options. The offensive line has experience and competition.

    There is a lot more here than the 3-9 record suggests.

    The defense is the bigger question.

    Can Brent Pry fix it from the coordinator chair? Can the portal additions help right away? Can the Hokies stop beating themselves after ranking near the bottom nationally in turnover margin and penalties?

    That might decide the season.

    Because if Virginia Tech just cleans up the turnovers and penalties, it is probably much more competitive right away.

    The best-case scenario is that Grunkemeyer is steady, the offensive line improves, Hawkins gives them a real run game, Brown becomes a major target, and Pry gets the defense back to being respectable.

    If that happens, Virginia Tech can be one of the surprise teams in the ACC.

    The worst-case scenario is that the offense still lacks explosiveness, the line remains shaky in pass protection, the defense does not improve enough, and the road schedule catches up with them.

    My gut?

    Virginia Tech is going to be better.

    Maybe a lot better.

    The Hokies may still be a year away from being a real ACC contender, but they are one of those teams that could start 4-0, get confidence, and suddenly become a problem for everybody else on the schedule.

    Franklin does not need to make Virginia Tech what Penn State was overnight.

    He just needs to make Virginia Tech feel like Virginia Tech again.

    And for the first time in a while, that feels possible.

    Full disclosure: I use AI tools to format my research into an article encompassing all of the information.

  • 2026 preview: Wake Forest season outlook: Can the Demon Deacons prove last year wasn’t a one-year jump?

    2026 preview: Wake Forest season outlook: Can the Demon Deacons prove last year wasn’t a one-year jump?

    Going into last season, the ACC felt wide open after Clemson slipped.

    There was Clemson, maybe Florida State, maybe Miami, maybe SMU, and then a whole bunch of teams trying to jump into the conversation.

    One of the teams that actually did it was Wake Forest.

    And not enough people talked about it.

    The Demon Deacons went 9-4, finished 4-4 in ACC play, and put together only the fourth nine-win season in program history.

    That is a big deal at Wake Forest.

    This is not a program that just rolls out nine-win seasons every other year. In fact, Wake has never had back-to-back nine-win seasons.

    So now the question is pretty simple.

    Can Jake Dickert keep this thing moving, or was last year the high point?

    HEAD COACH:

    • Jake Dickert, entering year two at Wake Forest
    • Dickert is 32-24 in five years as a head coach.
    • Wake Forest went 9-4 last season.

    I thought Wake Forest was one of the better under-the-radar stories in the ACC last season.

    They were not perfect. They were not dominant. But they were tough, organized and good enough defensively to hang around with a lot of teams.

    They beat SMU by one in a crazy game.

    They beat Virginia, which played for the ACC title.

    They lost to Duke by three, and Duke won the ACC.

    So this was not some fake nine-win team that just beat up on bad opponents.

    Wake was competitive in a league that had a lot of weirdness and a lot of parity.

    Now Dickert has to show he can stack seasons.

    That is always the hard part at Wake Forest.

    One good year is great.

    Two in a row would mean something more.

    QUARTERBACK:

    This is where the season gets interesting.

    Robbie Ashford is gone, and Wake Forest likely turns to Gio Lopez, the transfer from North Carolina.

    And Lopez is a really interesting story.

    He was the guy Bill Belichick wanted at North Carolina. He came in, led the Tar Heels right down the field for a touchdown against TCU, and for about three minutes it felt like the Belichick era in Chapel Hill was going to be something.

    Then TCU scored about 50 straight points, and North Carolina’s offense never looked that good again.

    Now Lopez is at Wake Forest, and maybe this is the fresh start he needs.

    Last year, Lopez threw for 1,747 yards, 10 touchdowns and five interceptions. The numbers are not amazing, but the UNC offense was a disaster.

    The bigger question is what kind of passer Wake is getting.

    When Lopez was kept clean, he completed around 74% of his passes. That is very good. Under pressure, that number dropped closer to 50%.

    That is not shocking. Almost every quarterback is worse under pressure.

    But it tells you Wake has to protect him.

    The deep ball is another question. Lopez completed only 25% of his deep passes last season, going 10-of-40 on throws of 20-plus air yards.

    That matters because Dickert has talked about wanting more of a vertical passing game.

    If Wake wants to push the ball down the field more, Lopez has to be better there.

    The encouraging part is that he was much better in the intermediate range. On throws from 10 to 19 yards, Lopez completed around 62.7% of his passes.

    That is where an offense can live.

    I love the deep-ball numbers, and I always look at them, but the real meat and potatoes of a passing game often comes in that intermediate area. If Lopez can keep hitting those throws and add a little more downfield success, Wake may have something.

    He does not need to be a superstar.

    But he does need to be a better passer than Ashford.

    THE REST OF THE OFFENSE

    Wake Forest has to replace the centerpiece of its offense.

    Demond Claiborne is gone, and that is a big loss.

    Claiborne was the guy everything ran through last season. He was one of the most underrated backs in the ACC, and Wake leaned on him heavily because the passing game was not always good enough to carry the offense.

    Now the Demon Deacons have to find a new answer.

    KD Daniels comes in from Florida, where he just never got enough carries to become the guy. Florida had a good running back room, and Daniels did not really get the chance to be the featured back.

    Maybe he gets that chance now.

    Wake also has returning backs like Ty Clark and Jamar Searcy, so there are options. But replacing Claiborne is not easy.

    The receiver room is also a question.

    Carlos Hernandez is back, and that matters because Wake lost Chris Barnes and Sterling Burkhalter to the portal. The Demon Deacons also lost both offensive tackles, Melvin Siani and Mateen Ibirogba.

    That is a lot of change around a new quarterback.

    So while Lopez gives Wake a more natural passing option, the support system has to come together quickly.

    The overall offensive numbers last year were fine, but not great.

    Wake averaged 26.9 points per game, which ranked around the middle of the country. The Demon Deacons averaged 381.5 yards per game, also pretty average nationally.

    That is the area that has to jump.

    The defense was good enough last year.

    The offense needs to be better if Wake wants to take another step.

    And it starts with Lopez being more than just the guy who transferred from North Carolina.

    He has to become Wake’s guy.

    DEFENSE

    This is the reason Wake Forest has a chance to stay relevant.

    The defense was good last year.

    Really good, actually.

    Wake held opponents to 23.1 points per game, which ranked 44th nationally. The Demon Deacons gave up 336 yards per game, which ranked 26th.

    That is strong.

    That is good enough to win in the ACC.

    And Wake brings back a lot on that side of the ball.

    The defensive line has pieces with Dallas Afalava, Gabe Kirschke and Zach Lohavichn. Aiden Hall is back at linebacker. Langston Hardy and Braylen Johnson give them experience in the secondary.

    Hardy and Devaughn Patterson were honorable mention All-ACC players, and Patterson is another key piece in the defensive backfield.

    Wake also added Deuce Blades, who made 36 starts at FIU.

    That is the kind of transfer addition that can help right away.

    The defense was not perfect. The Florida State game was a disaster. Wake lost 42-7 in Tallahassee to a bad Seminoles team, and that game made no sense compared to a lot of the rest of the season.

    But outside of that, Wake was usually competitive.

    The Demon Deacons were good enough defensively to beat Virginia, beat SMU and nearly beat Duke.

    If the defense stays at that level, Wake has a chance in a lot of games.

    But if the defense slips even a little and the offense does not improve, last year’s nine wins will be hard to repeat.

    SCHEDULE

    I do not love this schedule for Wake Forest.

    The Demon Deacons open with Akron on a Thursday, then get nine days before going to Purdue.

    That Purdue game is tricky. If you are picking a Power Four non-conference road game you feel like you can win, Purdue is probably one of the more manageable options.

    But it is still a road game in the Big Ten.

    Then comes the real test.

    Wake hosts Miami six days later.

    Miami is probably the ACC favorite and maybe one of the best teams in the country. Getting the Hurricanes at home helps, but playing them on short rest after a road trip to Purdue is not ideal.

    Then Wake goes to Louisville.

    So three of the first four games are not easy: at Purdue, Miami, at Louisville.

    That is a rough early stretch for a team trying to replace its quarterback and best running back.

    After that, Stanford comes to Wake Forest, then the Demon Deacons hit back-to-back road games at NC State and Cal.

    That Cal trip matters.

    Wake is one of only two ACC teams that plays at Cal or Stanford and also at SMU. Those are two of the longest travel spots an East Coast ACC team can draw.

    And Wake gets both.

    After the Cal trip, Wake has a bye before hosting Virginia on Halloween, then gets Merrimack.

    Then come more back-to-back road games: at SMU and at Georgia Tech.

    I hate that stretch.

    Road trip to Dallas. Road trip to Atlanta. Back-to-back.

    Then Wake finishes at home against Duke, the defending ACC champion.

    The good news is that some of Wake’s toughest games are at home. Miami, Virginia and Duke all come to Winston-Salem.

    The bad news is the travel is rough, and the road pairings are not friendly.

    Wake has enough talent to make this schedule interesting.

    But it is not a schedule that gives much away.

    OUTLOOK

    The Demon Deacons were better than people realized last year, and the defense gives them a real foundation. This was not some soft nine-win season. Wake beat good teams and was right there with the ACC champion.

    But repeating nine wins is hard.

    Especially at Wake Forest.

    Especially with this schedule.

    Especially when you are replacing Robbie Ashford, Demond Claiborne, multiple receivers and both offensive tackles.

    The optimistic case is easy enough to see.

    Gio Lopez gives Wake a better passing option. KD Daniels finally gets a real chance at running back. Carlos Hernandez becomes the clear top receiver. The defense stays strong. The home games against Miami, Virginia and Duke give Wake a chance to steal something big.

    If that happens, Wake can absolutely be a tough out again.

    The concern is that the offense may take time, the run game may miss Claiborne badly, the pass protection may be shaky without the tackles, and the schedule may punish any slow start.

    The best-case scenario is that Lopez gives Wake a real passing game, Daniels and the backs replace enough of Claiborne’s production, and the defense remains one of the better units in the ACC.

    If that happens, Wake could push for another strong season.

    The worst-case scenario is that the offense is still too limited, the defense takes a step back, and the travel-heavy schedule turns close games into losses.

    Last year was a breakthrough.

    This year is about proving it was not the ceiling.

    Full disclosure: I use AI tools to format my research into an article encompassing all of the information.

  • Virginia season outlook: Can the Cavaliers prove last year was more than a perfect storm?

    Virginia season outlook: Can the Cavaliers prove last year was more than a perfect storm?

    One of the best moments of the 2025 college football season happened on a Friday night in Charlottesville.

    Florida State came in ranked. The Seminoles had already beaten Alabama. It felt like they were starting to build some momentum again.

    Then Virginia beat them.

    The students rushed the field almost the second the ball hit the ground. It was one of those scenes that makes college football great. For a while, it felt like the sport was not just about Ohio State, Georgia, Alabama, Miami and the same national brands we talk about every year.

    Virginia was having a moment.

    And it turned into much more than that.

    The Cavaliers went 11-3, finished 7-1 in the ACC, and played for the ACC Championship. That was the best season in program history.

    Now comes the hard part.

    Can they do it again?

    HEAD COACH:

    • Tony Elliott, entering year five at Virginia
    • Elliott is 22-26 at UVA.
    • Virginia went 11-3 last season and 7-1 in the ACC.
    • The Cavaliers played for the ACC Championship.
    • UVA has never had back-to-back 10-win seasons.

    I give Tony Elliott a ton of credit.

    Virginia was not exactly rolling before last season. The program had been searching for something to believe in, and then suddenly the Cavaliers became one of the best stories in college football.

    They beat Florida State. They won 11 games. They played for the ACC title. They looked like they might actually represent the league in the playoff for a good chunk of the season.

    That is a massive jump.

    But now the job changes.

    Last year, Virginia was the surprise. This year, people know the Cavaliers can play. They are not going to sneak up on everybody the same way.

    That is what makes this season interesting.

    QUARTERBACK:

    This is where the season starts.

    Chandler Morris is gone, and that is a big deal.

    Morris gave Virginia exactly what it needed last year. He was experienced, productive and steady enough to keep the offense moving while the defense did its job.

    Now Virginia likely turns to Beau Pribula, the transfer from Missouri.

    Eli Holstein, the transfer from Pitt, is also in the mix, but Pribula feels like the likely starter.

    Pribula completed 67% of his passes last season for 1,941 yards, 11 touchdowns and nine interceptions. He also got sacked 23 times.

    There is good and bad there.

    The good is that he has played Power Four football. He has experience. He can move around. He is not some complete unknown walking into a team trying to get back to the ACC title game.

    The concern is how last season went after the hot start.

    Pribula threw five touchdowns and no interceptions in his first two games. After that, he threw six touchdowns and nine interceptions over his final eight games.

    That is the number Virginia fans have to worry about.

    Now, there is context. Missouri started last season with a long home stretch, and once the schedule got tougher and the Tigers had to get on the road, things got harder. Pribula was part of that.

    But Virginia needs the early-season version of Pribula more than the late-season version.

    Holstein is an interesting insurance policy. He looked like he might be the guy at Pittsburgh before Mason Heintschel took over. He has thrown 29 touchdowns and 13 interceptions in his career, so there is experience there too.

    That is the good news.

    Virginia did not replace Morris with a prayer.

    The Cavaliers brought in two quarterbacks who have actually played.

    But there is still probably a drop-off from Morris.

    The question is how big.

    THE REST OF THE OFFENSE

    Virginia has one thing every new quarterback wants.

    An offensive line.

    The Cavaliers bring back McKale Boley, Noah Josey and Drake Metcalf, and all three started every game last year.

    That is huge.

    If you are replacing a quarterback, replacing a running back and trying to figure out the receivers, you better have something stable up front. Virginia does.

    That gives the offense a chance.

    The running back room is the next question because J’Mari Taylor is gone after rushing for 1,067 yards.

    That is a lot of production to replace.

    But Virginia did a nice job giving itself options.

    Peyton Lewis comes in from Tennessee after rushing for 290 yards. Solomon Beebe comes in from UAB after rushing for 338 yards and six touchdowns. Jekail Middlebrook comes in from Middle Tennessee after rushing for 752 yards and four touchdowns.

    None of those guys is guaranteed to be Taylor.

    But at least Virginia has choices.

    The bigger concern is receiver.

    The Cavaliers do not have much proven production there. Dre’Sean Martin transfers in from Kent State. Rico Flores comes in from UCLA. Jacquon Gibson comes in from UMass. Freshman Dylan Cope is another name to watch.

    The returning group includes Cam Courtney, Tyler Coleman, Dylan Newton-Short, Isaiah Robinson and Josiah Abdullah.

    There may be talent there.

    But right now, I do not know who the guy is.

    That matters because Virginia can solve quarterback. It can patch together running back. It can lean on the offensive line.

    But somebody has to win outside.

    Somebody has to be the third-down target. Somebody has to scare a defense. Somebody has to make teams pay if they crowd the box and try to make Pribula beat them.

    That is probably the biggest offensive question.

    DEFENSE

    This is the side of the ball that made Virginia real last year.

    The Cavaliers allowed only 19.8 points per game, which ranked 18th nationally. They allowed 313 yards per game, which ranked 17th.

    That is not fake.

    Virginia was legitimately good on defense.

    The third-down numbers were even better.

    Virginia converted 49% of its own third downs, which was one of the best marks in the country. On defense, the Cavaliers allowed opponents to convert only 29% of their third downs.

    That is how you win games.

    You stay on the field when you have the ball. You get off the field when you do not.

    It sounds simple, but that was a huge part of Virginia’s season.

    Now the question is whether they can do that again.

    The returning defensive pieces are solid. Fisher Camac and Jason Hammond are back on the defensive line. Kam Robinson is back at linebacker. Ethan Minter and Donovan Platt are back in the secondary.

    Virginia also added help. Zion Wilson comes in from East Carolina, and Brandyn Hillman comes in from Michigan as one of the bigger transfer names in the secondary.

    There are also several new defensive backs on the roster, which tells you the staff knew it needed more depth and competition.

    The defense should still be good.

    But can it be that good again?

    That is harder.

    Being elite on third down is not easy to repeat. Sometimes it is a sign of a great defense. Sometimes it is a sign of a defense that was good and also got the right breaks at the right time.

    Virginia cannot afford a big regression there.

    If the offense takes a step back without Morris and Taylor, the defense may have to carry even more weight.

    That is a lot to ask.

    SCHEDULE

    I actually do not hate the schedule for Virginia.

    The Cavaliers open against NC State in Brazil, which is technically a non-conference game even though both teams are in the ACC.

    I still do not love that.

    When two teams from the same conference play each other, it feels strange that it does not count in the conference standings. We saw last year how weird tiebreakers can get in the ACC. These games can matter, even when they technically do not.

    But it should be a fun opener.

    And at least nobody has a true home-field advantage. Both teams have to make the long trip. Both staffs have to figure out how to handle it. Both teams are dealing with something unusual.

    After that, Virginia gets Norfolk State, West Virginia and Delaware at home.

    So the Cavaliers play three of their first four games at home, with the only trip being a neutral-site game.

    That is a nice start.

    Then comes Florida State on Oct. 3.

    That game will have some edge to it because of what happened last year. You know Mike Norvell and that new-look FSU team will remember.

    After that, Virginia hosts Syracuse, goes to SMU, then hosts Duke in a rematch of last year’s ACC Championship Game.

    It would be great if that game mattered again.

    The rest of the schedule is manageable, at least from a travel standpoint. Virginia goes to Wake Forest on Halloween, gets a bye, hosts Cal, hosts North Carolina, and then finishes at Virginia Tech.

    The big thing?

    Virginia does not have any back-to-back road trips.

    The Cavaliers do not travel to Cal or Stanford.

    They only play four true road games all season: Florida State, SMU, Wake Forest and Virginia Tech.

    And eight of their 12 games are played in the state of Virginia.

    That matters.

    This is not an easy schedule, but it is not a brutal travel schedule either.

    OUTLOOK

    Virginia is one of the hardest teams in the ACC to figure out.

    Last year was incredible.

    It was also the kind of year that is hard to repeat.

    The Cavaliers had the right quarterback. They had a 1,000-yard running back. The defense was top 20 nationally. The third-down numbers were outstanding. They won the games they needed to win and gave the program one of the best seasons it has ever had.

    Now a lot changes.

    Chandler Morris is gone.

    J’Mari Taylor is gone.

    The receiver room is unproven.

    The defense has to prove those third-down numbers were sustainable.

    That is the concern.

    The optimistic case is easy to make too.

    Virginia has three offensive linemen back. It brought in two experienced quarterbacks. It added multiple running backs. The defense still has important pieces. The schedule avoids the worst ACC travel spots. The Cavaliers get plenty of games in their home state.

    That gives them a chance.

    The best-case scenario is that Beau Pribula settles in quickly, one of the transfer backs becomes the lead guy, a receiver emerges, and the defense stays strong enough to keep Virginia in the ACC race.

    If that happens, Virginia can be good again.

    The worst-case scenario is that the offense misses Morris badly, the receiver room never gets sorted out, the defense regresses on third down, and last year starts to look like the perfect storm.

    Virginia is probably still a good football team.

    But I am not ready to pick the Cavaliers to get back to the ACC Championship Game.

    That does not mean they can’t. Tony Elliott already proved they can get there. The schedule gives them a path. The line of scrimmage pieces give them a chance.

    I just need to see the new quarterback, the new backs and the receivers before I buy the full repeat.

    Last year, Virginia gave college football one of its best stories.

    This year, the Cavaliers have to prove it was more than a moment.

    Full disclosure: I use AI tools to format my research into an article encompassing all of the information.

  • Stanford 2026 preview: Can the Cardinal get back to bowl eligibility?

    Stanford 2026 preview: Can the Cardinal get back to bowl eligibility?

    Doesn’t it feel like just yesterday that Jim Harbaugh and David Shaw had Stanford playing huge Pac-12 games in November?

    That was not ancient history, but it feels like it now.

    Stanford used to be one of the most physical, consistent, annoying programs in the country. The Cardinal were built from the ground up, had NFL players everywhere, and for a while, it felt like Stanford had become a real national program.

    Now?

    Stanford is trying to remember what winning looks like.

    The Cardinal went 4-8 last season and 3-5 in the ACC. Stanford’s last season with more than four wins was 2018. Technically, Stanford’s last winning season was the shortened 2020 season, when Stanford went 4-2.

    That is a long fall.

    Now Andrew Luck is back around the program as football general manager, and Tavita Pritchard is the new head coach.

    The names make sense.

    The rebuild still looks pretty big.

    HEAD COACH

    • Tavita Pritchard, entering year one as Stanford’s head coach
    • Stanford went 4-8 last season.
    • The Cardinal have not won more than four games in a season since 2018.
    • Pritchard is a former Stanford assistant and former Washington Commanders quarterbacks coach.
    • He previously coached running backs, quarterbacks and served as offensive coordinator at Stanford.

    I understand the hire.

    Tavita Pritchard knows Stanford. He played there, pulled off one of the biggest upsets in college football when he and the Cardinal upset No. 1 ranked USC.

    https://twitter.com/CFBReport/status/1716961955536125998/video/1

    He coached there. He has been around the program in a bunch of different roles, from running backs coach to quarterbacks coach to offensive coordinator.

    Then he went to the NFL and worked with the Washington Commanders.

    So if Stanford wanted someone who understands the school, understands the program and understands what the Cardinal used to be, Pritchard makes sense.

    But that does not mean this is easy.

    Stanford is not just trying to make one or two tweaks. This is not a team that went 7-5 and needs a couple of portal pieces to jump back into the top 25.

    This is a program that has been stuck for years.

    The good news is Stanford does have experience coming back. The Cardinal return one of the highest snap-production totals in the country, including a lot on defense and four offensive linemen.

    That matters.

    But returning production only matters if the returning production is good enough.

    That is the big question.

    QUARTERBACK

    The quarterback room is interesting, but it is not exactly proven.

    The name I would expect to start is Davis Warren, the transfer from Michigan.

    Warren was 6-3 as Michigan’s starting quarterback in 2024. He threw for 1,199 yards, seven touchdowns and nine interceptions.

    Those numbers are not great.

    But there is some context.

    He played at Michigan. He started big games. He was in serious environments. He was part of a program where the pressure is real every single week.

    And let’s be honest: Stanford would take a quarterback going 6-3 as a starter right now in a heartbeat.

    That does not mean Warren is the answer. It just means he gives Stanford something it badly needs: an experienced option who has actually been in real games.

    Dylan Rizk, the transfer from UCF, and Charlie Mirer are also in the room, but both have limited experience.

    So this feels like Warren’s job unless someone takes it from him.

    The concern is the ceiling.

    I do not know if Warren is going to come in and suddenly make Stanford explosive. He was not that kind of quarterback at Michigan. And Stanford’s offense was so bad last year that it probably needs more than just “stable.”

    But stable would be a start.

    Because last year, Stanford did not have enough answers anywhere on offense.

    If Warren can protect the ball, help the run game function and give Stanford something dependable at quarterback, that may be enough for step one of this rebuild.

    THE REST OF THE OFFENSE

    The offense was rough last year.

    There is really no way around it.

    Stanford averaged only 18.8 points per game, which ranked 117th nationally. The Cardinal averaged 306.5 yards per game, which ranked 124th.

    That is not just bad.

    The run game was especially ugly. Stanford averaged just 2.6 yards per carry and only about 84 rushing yards per game.

    That cannot happen again.

    The good news is Micah Ford is back.

    Ford ran 145 times for 643 yards and four touchdowns last season. He was the one guy who looked like he could carry the ball, and I remember watching the Hawaii game and thinking, “Well, they might just have to hand it to Ford over and over.”

    The weird part is they really did not do that enough.

    Ford only had 20-plus carries in the first game and the last game. The first game was against Hawaii. The last game was against Cal.

    If Stanford wants to be better, Ford probably has to be a bigger part of the offense.

    The offensive line gives Stanford a chance to improve there.

    The Cardinal bring back Fisher Anderson, Kahlil House, Niki Prongos and Josh Williams up front. That is a lot of experience on the line, and for a team that needs to run the ball better, that is where the optimism starts.

    At receiver, Stanford has to replace CJ Williams, who had 59 catches last season and moved on to the NFL.

    The transfer to watch is Nico Brown from Yale. He had at least five catches in every game last season, which is impressive no matter the level.

    The jump from the Ivy League to the ACC is real.

    But Stanford needs somebody who can become reliable quickly, and Brown at least brings production.

    The formula for Stanford’s offense should not be complicated.

    Run the ball better. Protect Warren. Let Ford be a real feature back. Make the passing game manageable. Do not ask the quarterback to save the whole program in one season.

    That is not exciting.

    But after last year, functional would be a big step.

    DEFENSE

    This is where Stanford has a little more to work with.

    The Cardinal return a lot on defense, and that is probably the best argument for improvement.

    Matt Rose is the name that jumps out. He had 106 tackles and three sacks last season and earned All-ACC recognition. He gives Stanford a real building block at linebacker.

    Ernest Cooper and Josiah Galvan are also back at linebacker, and Stanford has experience in the secondary with Scotty Edwards, Jay Green and Brandon Nicholson.

    That is a lot of returning experience.

    The problem is that Stanford still was not good enough defensively last year.

    The Cardinal allowed 29 points per game, which ranked 87th nationally. They allowed 408 yards per game, which ranked 92nd.

    That will not get it done in the ACC.

    The interesting thing is that teams did not run on Stanford much. Opponents ran on only about 45% of their plays, one of the lower rates in the country.

    Some of that may be because Stanford had good linebacker play and was tougher to run against than you might expect.

    But some of it is also because opponents knew they could throw.

    If teams believe they can beat you through the air, they will keep doing it.

    That is why the secondary matters so much.

    Stanford has experience back there, but experience has to turn into better results. The Cardinal gave up too many points, too many yards, and opponents converted too many third downs.

    The defense does not have to become elite immediately.

    But it has to give the offense a chance.

    Last year, Stanford’s offense was so limited that the defense almost had to be great for the Cardinal to win.

    It was not.

    This year, if the offense improves from terrible to decent, the defense just needs to be steady enough to keep games close.

    That is a more realistic path.

    SCHEDULE

    I do not love this schedule for Stanford.

    The Cardinal open with Hawaii in Week 0, and that game matters more than people may think. Hawaii should be pretty good, and Stanford needs to start the Pritchard era with some confidence.

    Then comes Miami.

    That is a huge early test.

    The game is at Stanford, which helps. Miami has to fly across the country, and the Hurricanes will be playing their season opener while Stanford will already have a game under its belt.

    That is the good news.

    The bad news is Miami might be the best team in the ACC and one of the best teams in the country.

    Also, Stanford plays that game on one fewer day of rest because it is a Friday night game. So it is not a perfect setup.

    After Miami, Stanford gets a bye before traveling to Duke, the defending ACC champion. Then Georgia Tech comes to Palo Alto.

    So three of the first four games are at home: Hawaii, Miami and Georgia Tech.

    That helps.

    But the opponents are not easy.

    Then the road stretch starts to get uncomfortable.

    Stanford plays back-to-back road games at Wake Forest and Notre Dame. Wake was a nine-win team last year, and Notre Dame expects to contend for a national championship.

    That is not fun.

    Stanford gets Elon for homecoming on Oct. 17, then hosts NC State on Oct. 23.

    After that, the schedule gets brutal.

    From Oct. 31 to Nov. 21, Stanford plays three straight road games: at Louisville, at Virginia Tech and at Cal.

    There is a bye mixed in, but still.

    That is over a month without a home game.

    And I really do not love the timing of those games. Louisville could be an ACC contender. By mid-November, James Franklin may have Virginia Tech playing its best football. Then Cal is the rivalry game, and even though it is a short trip compared to Stanford’s other ACC travel, it still comes at the end of a draining stretch.

    Then Stanford closes at home against SMU on Nov. 28.

    SMU might be the second-best team in the ACC.

    So the back half is nasty.

    If Stanford is going to flirt with bowl eligibility, it probably has to steal something early.

    OUTLOOK

    I want to believe Stanford can get back.

    College football was better when Stanford was good. Those Harbaugh and Shaw teams had an identity. They were physical. They were smart. They were different. They made you play their game.

    This version of Stanford is not there yet.

    The Cardinal have pieces. Micah Ford is back. Four offensive linemen return. Davis Warren gives them an experienced quarterback option. Matt Rose is a real player on defense. The secondary has experience. The roster brings back a lot of snaps.

    That is the optimistic case.

    The concern is everything else.

    The offense was one of the worst in the country. The run game was almost nonexistent. The defense gave up too many points and yards. The schedule is difficult. And Stanford is trying to rebuild in a league where the travel alone is a weekly storyline.

    The best-case scenario is that Warren stabilizes quarterback, Ford becomes a true feature back, the offensive line makes the run game respectable, and the defense improves enough with all those returning pieces to keep Stanford in games.

    If that happens, maybe Stanford can push toward bowl eligibility.

    The worst-case scenario is that the offense still cannot score, the run game still cannot move people, the passing game lacks playmakers, and the schedule buries the Cardinal before November.

    My gut?

    This still feels like a long year.

    Not because Pritchard was a bad hire. I actually think the hire makes sense.

    But Stanford feels like a program that needs more than one offseason to fix.

    The Cardinal may be more competitive. They may look more organized. They may have a clearer identity.

    But in the ACC, with this schedule, that may still not be enough.

    Stanford is trying to climb back toward relevance.

    The hill just looks really steep.

    Full disclosure: I use AI tools to format my research into an article encompassing all of the information.