Uthinkuknowsports

UCLA-California week 1 preview: An old Pac 12 rivalry renewed

Kickoff: Saturday, September 5 at 9:30 PM CT
Location: California Memorial Stadium
TV: ESPN
DraftKings line (Aug. 30): UCLA -1.5
Over/under: 53.5

The setup

California and UCLA played a conference game for 91 straight seasons from 1933-2023, then paused for two years after changing leagues. Meeting No. 95 is an old conference ritual returning as an unusual nonconference opener.

 

Personnel snapshot

  • UCLA: Bob Chesney enters Year 1 as head coach. 6 starters return—3 on offense and 3 on defense. Key defenders back include Scooter Jackson, Cole Martin, and Rodrick Pleasant. UCLA’s defense allowed 387.0 yards and 33.4 points per game last season.
  • UCLA quarterback: Nico Iamaleava returns as UCLA’s starting quarterback. Last season, he threw for 1,928 yards, 13 TD and 7 INT.
  • California: Tosh Lupoi enters Year 1 as head coach. 9 starters return—6 on offense and 3 on defense. Key offensive linemen back include Tyson Ruffins and Sioape Vatikani. California’s offense averaged 357.6 yards and 25.3 points per game last season.
  • California quarterback: Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele returns as California’s starting quarterback. Last season, he threw for 3,117 yards, 17 TD and 9 INT.

Three quick analysis points

  • The turnover test: California won the last meeting 33-7 by forcing four turnovers and shutting UCLA out after halftime. The Bruins lead the full series 58-35-1, but the freshest tape is a 26-point Cal win built on stolen possessions.
  • The recent trend: The last time UCLA visited Berkeley, California led by 11 in the second quarter and still lost 35-28. Pair that with the 2023 blowout and the last two meetings say the first-half scoreboard has been a very poor narrator.
  • The matchup wrinkle: Sagapolutele ended his freshman year with 178 consecutive passes without an interception, only seven shy of Jared Goff’s California record. UCLA arrives with its own four-game streak without throwing a pick, so the first giveaway may feel unusually expensive.

Prediction

I make final predictions on my TikTok/YouTube/Instagram/Facebook pages @uthinkuknowsports.

Full disclosure: I use AI tools to format my research into an article encompassing all of the information.

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